{"id":6425,"date":"2024-04-19T06:00:42","date_gmt":"2024-04-19T13:00:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/markccrowley.com\/?p=6425"},"modified":"2024-04-17T14:28:37","modified_gmt":"2024-04-17T21:28:37","slug":"saul-perlmutter-how-to-make-smarter-judgments-wiser-decisions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/staging-wmplo.xyz\/mark-c-divi5\/saul-perlmutter-how-to-make-smarter-judgments-wiser-decisions\/","title":{"rendered":"Saul Perlmutter: How To Make Smarter Judgments &#038; Wiser Decisions"},"content":{"rendered":"<iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/player.blubrry.com\/?podcast_id=132159636&amp;media_url=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.blubrry.com%2Fleadfromtheheartpodcast%2Fcontent.blubrry.com%2Fleadfromtheheartpodcast%2FLFTH_Episode_129_V2.mp3#mode-Light&border-000000&progress-000000\" scrolling=\"no\" width=\"100%\" height=\"165\" frameborder=\"0\" id=\"blubrryplayer-1\" class=\"blubrryplayer\" title=\"Blubrry Podcast Player\"><\/iframe><p class=\"powerpress_links powerpress_links_mp3\" style=\"margin-bottom: 1px !important;\">Podcast: <a href=\"https:\/\/media.blubrry.com\/leadfromtheheartpodcast\/content.blubrry.com\/leadfromtheheartpodcast\/LFTH_Episode_129_V2.mp3\" class=\"powerpress_link_pinw\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Play in new window\" onclick=\"return powerpress_pinw('https:\/\/staging-wmplo.xyz\/mark-c-divi5\/?powerpress_pinw=6425-podcast');\" rel=\"nofollow\">Play in new window<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/media.blubrry.com\/leadfromtheheartpodcast\/content.blubrry.com\/leadfromtheheartpodcast\/LFTH_Episode_129_V2.mp3\" class=\"powerpress_link_d\" title=\"Download\" rel=\"nofollow\" download=\"LFTH_Episode_129_V2.mp3\">Download<\/a><\/p><p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_6431\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-6431\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-6431\" src=\"https:\/\/staging-wmplo.xyz\/mark-c-divi5\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/new-perlmutter_saul-update-300x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"300\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-6431\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><em><strong>Saul Perlmutter, Nobel Laureate 2011 for Physics, in his office.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><\/div>\n<p>There\u2019s a lot that\u2019s remarkable about the new book, <strong>Third Millennium Thinking: Creating Sense in a World\u00a0<\/strong><strong>of Nonsense<\/strong>, starting with the fact that one of its three co-authors is a Nobel laureate who earned the Nobel prize in physics for discovering the accelerating expansion of the universe.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">One might imagine that UC Berkeley professor, Saul Perlmutter could have written this book on his own, but instead, he intentionally collaborated with two people way outside of his own discipline: <strong>John Campbell \u2013 a philosophy professor at Berkeley \u2013 and Robert MacCoun<\/strong> <strong>\u2013 a social psychologist and law professor Stanford University.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Before working together on their book, the authors teamed up in developing a wildly popular UC Berkeley course, designed to teach students how to better understand the world and make informed decisions in an era of uncertainty and overwhelming data. It emphasizes how processes used in the practice of science can provide widely-applicable tools for approaching individual and collective decision-making.<\/p>\n<p>One of Perlmutter\u2019s gifts is his ability to simplify complex ideas and, in this conversation, he explains why every decision we make as leaders is really a bet \u2013 we\u2019re rarely guaranteed that our choices will be the right ones \u2013 and why despite the fact that uncertainty makes us all really nervous and uncomfortable, we can use it in a way that allows us to have strong confidence in what we\u2019re doing.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Yes, that\u2019s a paradox \u2013 but what did you expect from a guest like this?<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Saul Perlmutter is brilliant and relatable \u2013 and he shares some wonderful disciplines you can put to immediate use.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; There\u2019s a lot that\u2019s remarkable about the new book, Third Millennium Thinking: Creating Sense in a World\u00a0of Nonsense, starting with the fact that one of its three co-authors is a Nobel laureate who earned the Nobel prize in physics for discovering the accelerating expansion of the universe. One might imagine that UC Berkeley professor, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6431,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[283],"tags":[601,766,765,764,763,668],"class_list":["post-6425","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-podcast","tag-decision-making","tag-john-campbell","tag-robert-maccoun","tag-saul-perlmutter","tag-third-millennium-thinking","tag-uc-berkeley"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Saul Perlmutter: How To Make Smarter Judgments &amp; Wiser Decisions - Mark C. 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